In 2014, two actresses have a chance to three-peat; to earn three Emmy's in three consecutive years. Those actresses are Claire Danes for her work on Showtime's Homeland and Julia Louis-Dreyfus for her work on HBO's Veep. Both actresses have won the past two years, and their nominations for 2014 are essentially a lock. The real question is not whether they'll be nominated, but whether they'll win.
In order to help answer this question, I scrolled through the entire history of all the acting nominations (both lead and supporting) the Primetime Emmy's have ever given out. While truthfully, the entire history of the Emmy's has absolutely no bearing on whether Claire Danes or Julia Louis-Dreyfus will individually win this year, I think it's a fun place to start.
Here are the following rules I set up for this "study":
- The actor or actress has to earn a nomination from the same show in the same role
- The actor or actress has to be nominated in the same category all consecutive years
- The actor or actress has to have won in two consecutive years
- The actor or actress has to have earned a nomination in the third year directly following his or her two wins
- If an actor or actress actually does win 3 or 4 times in a row, their failure to win the next year isn't counted
All of the aforementioned criteria applies to Claire Danes and Julia Louis-Dreyfus. I'm not looking to see if an actor or actress can win Emmy's in their lifetime, I'm looking to see how historically probable it is to win three in a row.
RESULTS
In order to help answer this question, I scrolled through the entire history of all the acting nominations (both lead and supporting) the Primetime Emmy's have ever given out. While truthfully, the entire history of the Emmy's has absolutely no bearing on whether Claire Danes or Julia Louis-Dreyfus will individually win this year, I think it's a fun place to start.
Here are the following rules I set up for this "study":
- The actor or actress has to earn a nomination from the same show in the same role
- The actor or actress has to be nominated in the same category all consecutive years
- The actor or actress has to have won in two consecutive years
- The actor or actress has to have earned a nomination in the third year directly following his or her two wins
- If an actor or actress actually does win 3 or 4 times in a row, their failure to win the next year isn't counted
All of the aforementioned criteria applies to Claire Danes and Julia Louis-Dreyfus. I'm not looking to see if an actor or actress can win Emmy's in their lifetime, I'm looking to see how historically probable it is to win three in a row.
RESULTS
